Graduate Student Association of Philosophy of Mind and Cognition at National Yang Ming University
Monday, March 30, 2015
Wednesday, March 18, 2015
國立陽明大學心智哲學研究所 一零四學年度(2015)碩士班招生考試 初試合格名單及複試注意事項
第一梯次:09:45~10:00
320001 江聖照 320002 朱喬茵 320003 顏紹先 320004 陳宇貞
第二梯次:11:00~11:15
320005 吳心萍 320006 陳慧如 320007 施伯靜 320009 蔣德萱
第三梯次:12:45~13:00
320010 李宜潔 320012 忻之庭 320013 劉士豪 320014 蔡坦岩
第四梯次:14:15~14:30
320016 郭心屏 320017 翁晉翼 320019 陳聆 320022 張顥瀚
1.符合複試資格考生請自行上網列印複試通知,
2.請依照簡章規定,於複試舉行前二日(3/19),將「
3.報到時,請務必攜帶複試通知函及身分證件,逾該階段報到時間
4.複試當天適逢假日本校校車停駛,
Tuesday, January 27, 2015
Thursday, January 15, 2015
Wednesday, January 07, 2015
Dr. Guillaume Rochefort-Maranda will come to our institute and give a talk.
Theme:"Simplicity
Matters?
The
Case
of
Non-parametric
Models"
Date & Time: Thursday, 7 Jan., 1:30-3:30 p.m.
Venue: Meeting Room, Institute of Philosophy of mind and cognition, NYMU
About the theme
In this presentation, I claim that influential arguments concerning the importance of parametric simplicity for model selection have been biased by their focus on parametric models. See (Foster & Sober 1994) (Foster 2001) (Sober & Hitchcock 2004). Such a focus leads us to believe that there is a fundamental trade‐off between parametric simplicity and goodness of fit. But no such trade‐off is considered when we select non‐parametric models, like KNN1 regression models. We can increase the fit of KNN models by keeping the number of adjustable parameters to 1.
This leads me to point out that the important trade‐off that is made as we select any kind of model is between the bias and the variance of an estimator for a dependent variable. Consequently, I explain why a favored selection criterion for the proponents of parametric simplicity, i.e., the AIC (Akaike Information Criterion) is not optimal (in any scenario) in order to tell if we have made a reasonable bias/variance trade‐off. A selection criterion based on crossvalidation is more appropriate.
Key References
Forster, M. (2001), “The New Science of Simplicity”, (In A. Zellner, H.
Keuzenkamp, and M. McAleer (Eds.), Simplicity, Inference and Modelling. (pp. 83‐
119). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press)
Forster M. and Sober, E. (1994), “How to Tell When Simpler, More Unified, or
Less Ad Hoc Theories will Provide More Accurate Predictions”, The British
Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 45: 1 ‐ 35.
Hitchcock, C. and Sober, E. (2004) “Prediction Versus Accommodation and the
Risk of Overfitting”, The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 55: 1‐34
1 KNN
About the speaker
Guillaume Rochefort-Maranda, Laval University, Québec, Canada
AREAS OF SPECIALISATION
Philosophy of Science
Epistemology
Philosophy of Statistics and Probability
AREAS OF COMPETENCE
Philosophy of Mind
Philosophy of Language
Philosophical Logic
Metaphysics
Applied Ethics
Big Data Studies
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